← Grand Archive Regionals-リージョナル- HASUYA

Wind AlliesTier 1

at Grand Archive Regionals-リージョナル- HASUYA

decks
4 (6.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
21 12-8-1
overall winrate
59.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
62.6% avg ELO +4.8 per match
expected value
54.4% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.6% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1310 · median 1298 · range 1269–1377 (4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1002 Q1 1200 Q3 1378 1730
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Fractal 17.5% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 72.8% +21.9
Wind Shadowstrike 11.1% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 58.8% +6.6
Fire Suzaku 7.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.8% +14.0
Wind Astra Cleric 7.9% 3 0-3-0 0.0% 28.6% 35.9% -10.5
Water Genbu 6.3% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 53.1% +3.0
Fire Aggro 4.8% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 62.8% +12.3
Wind Luxem Zander 4.8% 0
Fire Crux Mage 3.2% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 3.2% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 3.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.9% +15.9
Wind Razorgale 3.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.8% -14.8
Wind Slice & Dice 3.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.8% -14.8
Fire Arcane 1.6% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 1.6% 0
Fire Exia 1.6% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 1.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.3% -14.0
Fire Seiryuu 1.6% 0
Water Allies 1.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.0% +14.4
Water Astra Cleric 1.6% 0
Water Neos 1.6% 0
Water Umbra Ranger 1.6% 0
Wind Lorraine 1.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.6% +10.6
Wind Neos 1.6% 0
Wind Seiryuu 1.6% 0
Wind Umbra Diana 1.6% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 64.1% +13.5
Decklists · 4 from this event

The 4 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 61 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 61 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Dilu, Auspicious Charger -1.00 0 2 0
Eternal Directive +1.00 2 0 0
Perse, Relentless Raptor -1.00 0 2 0
Zander, Deft Executor -1.00 0 2 0
Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa -1.00 0 2 0
Charged Mannequin +1.00 2 0 0
Sword of Seeking +1.00 2 0 0
Rallied Advance +1.00 2 0 0
Andronika, Eternal Herald +1.00 2 0 0
Parcenet, Royal Maid -1.00 0 2 0
Eternal Magistrate +1.00 2 0 0
Verdigris Decree -1.00 0 2 0
Morgan, Soul Guide -1.00 0 2 0
Fairy Whispers +1.00 2 0 0
Sadi, Blood Harvester -1.00 0 2 0
Incapacitate -1.00 0 2 0
Clarent, Sword of Peace +1.00 2 0 0
Oath of the Sakura -1.00 0 2 0
Lorraine, Wandering Warrior +1.00 2 0 0
Zander, Prepared Scout -1.00 0 2 0
Portentous Tanggu -1.00 0 2 0
Reclaim +1.00 2 0 0
Rose, Eternal Paragon +1.00 2 0 0
Shimmercloak Assassin +1.00 2 0 0
Liu Bei, Oathkeeper -1.00 0 2 0
Slice and Dice -1.00 0 2 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint -1.00 0 2 0
Smoke Bombs +1.00 2 0 0
Mortal Ambition -1.00 0 2 0
Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar -1.00 0 2 0
Clarent, Reimagined +1.00 2 0 0
Manufacture Cell +1.00 2 0 0
Assassin's Ripper -1.00 0 2 0
Surveil the Winds -1.00 0 2 0
Ornamental Greatsword +1.00 2 0 0
Blinding Orb -1.00 0 2 0
Automated Gardener +1.00 2 0 0
Arrow Trap -1.00 0 2 0
Brisk Windtrotter +1.00 2 0 0
Zephyr +1.00 2 0 0
Dream Fairy -1.00 0 2 0
Censer of Restful Peace -1.00 0 2 0
Innervate Agility -1.00 0 2 0
Skirting Step -1.00 0 2 0
Huaji of Heaven's Rise +0.50 1 0 0
Aesan Protector +0.50 1 0 0
Lurking Assailant +0.50 1 0 0
Veiling Breeze +0.50 1 0 0
Cry for Help -0.50 0 1 1
Favorable Winds +0.50 1 0 0
Critical Recovery +0.50 1 0 0
Viridian Protective Trinket -0.50 0 1 1
Deflecting Edge +0.50 1 0 1
Sun Ce, Weaponsmaster +0.50 1 0 0
Esteemed Knight +0.50 1 0 0
Unbroken Mustang +0.50 1 0 0
Deployment Beacon +0.50 1 0 0
Second Wind +0.50 1 0 0
Cell Vanguard +0.50 1 0 0
Scatter Essence +0.50 1 0 0
Counter Interference +0.50 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/24708/archetypes/Wind Allies