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Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at Grand Archive Regionals-リージョナル- HASUYA
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 17.5% | 7 | 4-3-0 | 57.1% | 54.5% | 56.1% | +3.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.9% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 37.0% | -8.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.9% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 60.1% | +5.8 |
| Water Genbu | 6.3% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 59.1% | +5.9 |
| Wind Allies | 6.3% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 41.2% | -6.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.1 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 4.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 38.9% | -10.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.7% | +14.1 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.3% | -6.0 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.4% | +2.3 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.6% | +4.2 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.2% | +6.8 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.2% | -1.8 |
| Fire Seiryuu | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.7% | +17.1 |
| Water Allies | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.1% | +11.4 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 40.7% | -9.0 |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.3 |
| Wind Lorraine | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 1.6% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 60.0% | +9.6 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 7 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 19 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 19 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dungeon Guide | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zhang Jiao, Way of Peace | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slimeshield | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cry for Help | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tristan, Shadowreaver | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Brackish Lutist | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mastermind Scheme | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Penumbral Waltz | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |