← Grand Archive Regionals-リージョナル- HASUYA
Fire ExiaTier 2
at Grand Archive Regionals-リージョナル- HASUYA
decks
1
(1.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-1-2
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.6%
avg ELO +4.6 per match
expected value
51.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1303
· median 1303
· range 1303–1303
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1002
Q1 1200
Q3 1378
1730
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 17.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.6% | -0.7 |
| Water Genbu | 6.3% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 45.2% | -4.6 |
| Wind Allies | 6.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.3 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.1 |
| Water Allies | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.1 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Exia decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
