← Grand Archive Regionals-リージョナル- HASUYA

Wind Luxem ZanderTier 2

at Grand Archive Regionals-リージョナル- HASUYA

decks
3 (4.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15 8-6-1
overall winrate
56.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
55.2% avg ELO +2.1 per match
expected value
49.7% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.8% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1314 · median 1267 · range 1259–1417 (3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1002 Q1 1200 Q3 1378 1730
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Fractal 17.5% 3 0-2-1 16.7% 35.7% 37.8% -9.1
Wind Shadowstrike 11.1% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 61.1% +10.6
Fire Suzaku 7.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.0% +14.4
Wind Astra Cleric 7.9% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.4% -12.2
Water Genbu 6.3% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 54.3% +4.1
Wind Allies 6.3% 0
Fire Aggro 4.8% 0
Fire Crux Mage 3.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.3% +14.8
Water Ravishing Mill 3.2% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 38.1% -11.4
Wind Crux Lorraine 3.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.6% +12.2
Wind Razorgale 3.2% 0
Wind Slice & Dice 3.2% 0
Fire Arcane 1.6% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 1.6% 0
Fire Exia 1.6% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 1.6% 0
Fire Seiryuu 1.6% 0
Water Allies 1.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.5% +15.2
Water Astra Cleric 1.6% 0
Water Neos 1.6% 0
Water Umbra Ranger 1.6% 0
Wind Lorraine 1.6% 0
Wind Neos 1.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.8% +7.7
Wind Seiryuu 1.6% 0
Wind Umbra Diana 1.6% 0
Decklists · 3 from this event

The 3 public Wind Luxem Zander decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 22 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 22 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Cleansing Reunion +1.00 1 0 0
Aesan Protector +1.00 1 0 0
Viridian Protective Trinket +1.00 1 0 0
Staggering Strike -1.00 0 1 0
Zhang Jiao, Way of Peace +1.00 1 0 0
Heavenly Guide -1.00 0 1 0
Grand Crusader's Ring +1.00 1 0 0
Mercenary's Blade +1.00 1 0 0
Cry for Help +1.00 1 0 0
Winbless Lookout -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Lantern +1.00 1 0 0
Luxem Sight -1.00 0 1 0
Turbo Charge +1.00 1 0 0
Crystallized Destiny -1.00 0 1 0
Morgan, Soul Guide -1.00 0 1 0
Quicksilver Grail -1.00 0 1 0
Gawain, Chivalrous Thief -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Mirror +1.00 1 0 0
Zephyr +1.00 1 0 0
Scatter Essence +1.00 1 0 0
Poisoned Dagger -1.00 0 1 0
Portentous Tanggu -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/24708/archetypes/Wind Luxem Zander