EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at The Gauntlet 2025.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Luxem Zander | 4 | 14.3% | 30 | 65.0% | 64.5% | 61.8% | 64.7% | 1545 | — |
| 2 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 3.6% | 9 | 50.0% | 48.1% | 56.5% | 57.6% | 1436 | ↓ low |
| 3 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 3.6% | 8 | 50.0% | 47.4% | 55.3% | 55.5% | 1458 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 7.1% | 16 | 59.4% | 63.8% | 53.3% | 57.3% | 1501 | — |
| 5 | Wind Astra Cleric | 2 | 7.1% | 17 | 61.8% | 62.3% | 50.5% | 52.8% | 1554 | — |
| 6 | Water Allies | 1 | 3.6% | 8 | 56.2% | 65.6% | 50.0% | 56.3% | 1441 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Water Crux Lorraine | 1 | 3.6% | 8 | 56.2% | 65.6% | 50.0% | 56.3% | 1441 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 3.6% | 8 | 43.8% | 39.2% | 48.4% | 44.2% | 1619 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Wind Allies | 1 | 3.6% | 8 | 37.5% | 44.9% | 48.3% | 52.1% | 1474 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Water Genbu | 12 | 42.9% | 64 | 46.1% | 39.6% | 46.1% | 41.7% | 1553 | — |
| 11 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 3.6% | 9 | 38.9% | 40.5% | 45.0% | 45.4% | 1426 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 3.6% | 8 | 37.5% | 47.0% | 44.7% | 49.8% | 1419 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Fire Exia | 1 | 3.6% | 7 | 7.1% | 23.9% | 25.5% | 27.6% | 1345 | ↓ low |