Fire SuzakuTier 2
at DTR Win-A-Case
decks
2
(4.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14
7-7-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.4%
avg ELO +0.2 per match
expected value
47.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1183
· median 1183
· range 1104–1262
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1104
Q1 1208
Q3 1426
1750
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 33.3% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 49.0% | -0.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.6 |
| Fire Suited | 8.9% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 50.4% | +0.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.4% | +0.4 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Genbu | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 4.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.5 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Byakko | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ciel | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Suzaku decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
