Fire ExiaTier 2
at Illusive Webcam Regionals
decks
1
(1.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
4-1-2
overall winrate
71.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
62.5%
avg ELO +6.3 per match
expected value
52.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1404
· median 1404
· range 1404–1404
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1094
Q1 1309
Q3 1491
1656
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 14.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.6% | +4.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.9% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 51.4% | +1.4 |
| Wind Allies | 6.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.9% | +11.0 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.7% | +9.1 |
| Water Allies | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.0% | +6.4 |
| Water Neos | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.7 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Exia decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
