Illusive Webcam Regionals

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	9	14.3%	20-24-3	45.7%	50.6%	46.7%	49.6%	1331	↓ low
2		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	7	11.1%	20-14-6	57.5%	52.7%	51.5%	51.0%	1399	—
3		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	6	9.5%	16-14-4	52.9%	48.8%	52.4%	49.8%	1453	↑ top
4		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	6	9.5%	12-11-8	51.6%	50.2%	52.7%	51.4%	1410	—
5		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	5	7.9%	21-7-5	71.2%	54.3%	57.5%	51.6%	1463	↑ top
6		Wind Allies	Tier 1	4	6.3%	13-11-1	54.0%	49.8%	48.2%	48.9%	1400	—
7		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 2	3	4.8%	5-9-1	36.7%	45.9%	48.3%	49.5%	1418	—
8		Water Allies	Tier 2	3	4.8%	7-9-1	44.1%	48.3%	46.4%	47.8%	1383	—
9		Fire Suited	Tier 2	2	3.2%	5-7-1	42.3%	49.7%	45.8%	49.3%	1328	↓ low
10		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	2	3.2%	5-7-1	42.3%	42.6%	42.2%	45.7%	1439	—
11		Water Fractal	Tier 2	2	3.2%	6-5-1	54.2%	50.8%	52.5%	51.4%	1456	↑ top
12		Water Neos	Tier 2	2	3.2%	4-5-1	45.0%	47.3%	43.8%	46.7%	1368	—
13		Fire Exia	Tier 2	1	1.6%	4-1-2	71.4%	62.5%	52.8%	53.9%	1404	—
14		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 3	1	1.6%	3-4-0	42.9%	57.2%	46.1%	52.2%	1094	↓ low
15		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	1	1.6%	4-3-0	57.1%	51.2%	53.8%	51.6%	1424	—
16		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 3	1	1.6%	0-5-1	8.3%	41.6%	40.7%	47.3%	1156	↓ low
17		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 3	1	1.6%	0-3-0	0.0%	45.6%	40.0%	48.4%	1425	—
18		Horse and Taxes	Tier 2	1	1.6%	3-3-0	50.0%	44.0%	53.8%	49.1%	1608	↑ top
19		Water Genbu	Tier 2	1	1.6%	3-1-2	66.7%	59.5%	54.9%	53.7%	1386	—
20		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 3	1	1.6%	0-3-0	0.0%	44.3%	40.0%	47.4%	1132	↓ low
21		Water Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	1.6%	5-2-0	71.4%	49.1%	59.0%	50.3%	1652	↑ top
22		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 3	1	1.6%	2-5-0	28.6%	49.3%	39.7%	47.1%	1131	↓ low
23		Wind Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	1.6%	3-3-1	50.0%	50.9%	49.2%	50.0%	1393	—
24		Wind Luxem Zander	Tier 3	1	1.6%	2-4-0	33.3%	40.3%	46.2%	46.7%	1519	↑ top
25		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 3	1	1.6%	1-4-1	25.0%	49.8%	43.7%	49.9%	1128	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Aggro 9 decks · 14.3%
• Wind Seiryuu 7 decks · 11.1%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 6 decks · 9.5%
• Wind Shadowstrike 6 decks · 9.5%
• Fire Crux Mage 5 decks · 7.9%
• Wind Allies 4 decks · 6.3%
• Fire Aetherwing 3 decks · 4.8%
• Water Allies 3 decks · 4.8%
• Fire Suited 2 decks · 3.2%
• Fire Suzaku 2 decks · 3.2%
• Water Fractal 2 decks · 3.2%
• Water Neos 2 decks · 3.2%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 1.6%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 1.6%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 1.6%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 1.6%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 1.6%
• Horse and Taxes 1 deck · 1.6%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 1.6%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 1.6%
• Water Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 1.6%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 1.6%
• Wind Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 1.6%
• Wind Luxem Zander 1 deck · 1.6%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 1 deck · 1.6%