← Weatherlight Grand Archive DTR Store Championship
Fire Firebloom BurnTier 2
at Weatherlight Grand Archive DTR Store Championship
decks
2
(4.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
5-6-1
overall winrate
45.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.5%
avg ELO +0.6 per match
expected value
49.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1216
· median 1216
· range 1164–1267
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1058
Q1 1207
Q3 1420
1513
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 12.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.0% | -1.0 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 8.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 57.7% | +7.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.6% | -13.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.4% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.6% | +2.7 |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 6.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.2 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.0 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | -10.3 |
| Water Fractal | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 2.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.1% | -15.9 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Firebloom Burn decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
