← Weatherlight Grand Archive DTR Store Championship
Water AlliesTier 2
at Weatherlight Grand Archive DTR Store Championship
decks
1
(2.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
1-2-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
35.9%
avg ELO -10.5 per match
expected value
43.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
40.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1315
· median 1315
· range 1315–1315
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1058
Q1 1207
Q3 1420
1513
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 12.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.4% | -17.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 8.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 34.4% | -24.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 6.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.4% | +10.3 |
| Fire Suited | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Allies decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
