← Weatherlight Grand Archive DTR Store Championship
Fire SuitedTier 2
at Weatherlight Grand Archive DTR Store Championship
decks
2
(4.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
5-7-0
overall winrate
41.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.6%
avg ELO +0.3 per match
expected value
47.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1231
· median 1231
· range 1161–1301
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1058
Q1 1207
Q3 1420
1513
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 12.8% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 58.1% | +5.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.0 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 8.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 6.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.6% | +18.5 |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.2% | +3.1 |
| Wind Allies | 6.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.9% | -11.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.0% | -8.0 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.0% | -20.8 |
| Wind Arcane | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.2 |
| Wind Byakko | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
