← Weatherlight Grand Archive DTR Store Championship
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at Weatherlight Grand Archive DTR Store Championship
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 12.8% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 63.3% | +12.8 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 8.5% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 57.2% | +4.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.1% | +2.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.4% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.2% | -14.2 |
| Wind Allies | 6.4% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 36.9% | -9.8 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.0% | +1.0 |
| Fire Suited | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.0 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.4% | -10.6 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.2 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.3% | +19.7 |
| Fire Exia | 2.1% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 54.0% | +3.8 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.2% | -6.0 |
| Water Allies | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 2.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.1% | +12.6 |
| Wind Byakko | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.1 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 5 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 20 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 20 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavenly Guide | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Noble Dissolution | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Verdigris Decree | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mastermind Scheme | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Blackmarket Broker | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blinding Orb | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Zephyr | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Innervate Agility | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Penumbral Waltz | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Arrow Trap | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |