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Fire Firebloom BurnTier 2

at ArtofCards DTR Store Championship

decks
1 (2.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10 3-5-2
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.6% avg ELO +0.3 per match
expected value
45.5% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.3% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1139 · median 1139 · range 1139–1139 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1139 Q1 1316 Q3 1481 1633
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 100% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Rile 66.7% 4 1-2-1 37.5% 43.8% 49.6% -0.2
Fire Crux Mage 22.2% 3 1-1-1 50.0% 50.0% 55.7% +4.2
Horse and Taxes 13.9% 0
Wind Wakeup Combo 11.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.2% -14.1
Fire Exia 8.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.4% -13.7
Water Genbu 8.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 61.7% +18.8
Wind Shadowstrike 8.3% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 5.6% 0
Fire Oblation 5.6% 0
Fire Aetherwing 2.8% 0
Fire Astra Cleric 2.8% 0
Fire Umbra Guardian 2.8% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Fire Firebloom Burn decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/31564/archetypes/Fire Firebloom Burn