← ArtofCards DTR Store Championship
Fire OblationTier 1
at ArtofCards DTR Store Championship
decks
2
(5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
17
11-5-1
overall winrate
67.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.2%
avg ELO +3.3 per match
expected value
57.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1398
· median 1398
· range 1368–1428
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1139
Q1 1316
Q3 1481
1633
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 66.7% | 6 | 4-2-0 | 66.7% | 60.0% | 59.7% | +5.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 22.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 13.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.1% | -0.8 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.0% | +8.0 |
| Fire Exia | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.7% | -23.0 |
| Water Genbu | 8.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.3% | -6.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.3% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 59.3% | +7.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.9% | +17.4 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.7% | +15.5 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
