← MANAPRO STORE CHAMPIONSHIP SINGAPORE
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at MANAPRO STORE CHAMPIONSHIP SINGAPORE.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 3.3% | 5 | 70.0% | 65.8% | 58.6% | 61.2% | 1254 | — |
| 2 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 3 | 10.0% | 14 | 67.9% | 60.6% | 57.3% | 54.8% | 1319 | — |
| 3 | Horse and Taxes | 2 | 6.7% | 10 | 60.0% | 63.2% | 55.8% | 57.7% | 1287 | — |
| 4 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 3.3% | 5 | 70.0% | 61.2% | 55.5% | 55.0% | 1338 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Suzaku | 3 | 10.0% | 11 | 54.5% | 50.6% | 53.8% | 53.9% | 1239 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 3.3% | 5 | 60.0% | 47.4% | 52.3% | 49.3% | 1410 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Wind Seiryuu | 2 | 6.7% | 10 | 50.0% | 43.1% | 52.1% | 48.2% | 1399 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 3.3% | 5 | 60.0% | 53.4% | 51.4% | 51.2% | 1362 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Water Allies | 2 | 6.7% | 9 | 61.1% | 61.4% | 49.8% | 52.9% | 1325 | — |
| 10 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 3.3% | 5 | 50.0% | 44.8% | 49.4% | 46.9% | 1223 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Fire Crux Mage | 6 | 20.0% | 26 | 46.2% | 42.4% | 48.6% | 47.6% | 1278 | — |
| 12 | Fire Suited | 1 | 3.3% | 4 | 25.0% | 40.4% | 44.0% | 45.3% | 1277 | — |
| 13 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 3.3% | 5 | 30.0% | 45.1% | 43.9% | 48.0% | 1383 | ↑ top |
| 14 | Wind Shadowstrike | 3 | 10.0% | 10 | 25.0% | 44.2% | 41.4% | 44.4% | 1253 | — |
| 15 | Fire Exia | 1 | 3.3% | 2 | 0.0% | 28.3% | 40.0% | 36.6% | 1190 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Water Tera Mage | 1 | 3.3% | 4 | 12.5% | 40.1% | 37.8% | 43.3% | 1164 | ↓ low |