Wilczek - Store Championships - Distorted Reflections

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	6	16.7%	16-10-7	59.1%	52.8%	54.5%	52.0%	1430	↑ top
2		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	3	8.3%	4-7-1	37.5%	36.6%	41.3%	41.0%	1277	↓ low
3		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 1	3	8.3%	9-7-2	55.6%	57.1%	57.0%	56.8%	1318	—
4		Fire Suited	Tier 1	3	8.3%	11-9-0	55.0%	59.6%	50.2%	53.1%	1346	—
5		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	3	8.3%	5-8-3	40.6%	53.6%	45.3%	49.5%	1257	↓ low
6		Fire Slimes	Tier 1	2	5.6%	6-3-2	63.6%	53.6%	51.6%	49.6%	1466	↑ top
7		Water Genbu	Tier 2	2	5.6%	5-5-1	50.0%	54.1%	50.0%	51.6%	1348	—
8		Water Umbra Guardian	Tier 1	2	5.6%	7-3-3	65.4%	49.1%	52.1%	48.2%	1465	↑ top
9		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	2	5.6%	2-7-3	29.2%	31.9%	41.2%	41.5%	1339	—
10		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	2.8%	2-4-0	33.3%	52.6%	44.4%	49.1%	1172	↓ low
11		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	2.8%	3-3-0	50.0%	59.0%	47.0%	51.0%	1130	↓ low
12		Fire Exia	Tier 2	1	2.8%	1-4-1	25.0%	35.0%	45.0%	45.5%	1197	↓ low
13		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	2.8%	0-5-1	8.3%	35.9%	40.4%	45.3%	1157	↓ low
14		Water Tera Mage	Tier 2	1	2.8%	2-3-1	41.7%	34.8%	45.0%	41.4%	1262	↓ low
15		Wind Allies	Tier 2	1	2.8%	2-3-0	40.0%	43.5%	43.3%	43.9%	1343	—
16		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.8%	2-2-1	50.0%	51.4%	50.8%	52.1%	1283	—
17		Wind Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.8%	1-4-0	20.0%	45.2%	44.0%	48.3%	983	↓ low
18		Wind Umbra Diana	Tier 2	1	2.8%	3-2-1	58.3%	51.1%	49.3%	49.0%	1332	—
19		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 2	1	2.8%	8-0-1	94.4%	69.1%	65.9%	60.7%	1535	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Shadowstrike 6 decks · 16.7%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 3 decks · 8.3%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 3 decks · 8.3%
• Fire Suited 3 decks · 8.3%
• Wind Astra Cleric 3 decks · 8.3%
• Fire Slimes 2 decks · 5.6%
• Water Genbu 2 decks · 5.6%
• Water Umbra Guardian 2 decks · 5.6%
• Wind Seiryuu 2 decks · 5.6%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 2.8%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 2.8%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 2.8%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 2.8%
• Water Tera Mage 1 deck · 2.8%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 2.8%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 2.8%
• Wind Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 2.8%
• Wind Umbra Diana 1 deck · 2.8%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 1 deck · 2.8%