← Wilczek - Store Championships - Distorted Reflections
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Wilczek - Store Championships - Distorted Reflections.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 2.8% | 9 | 94.4% | 69.1% | 65.9% | 60.7% | 1535 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 3 | 8.3% | 18 | 55.6% | 57.1% | 57.0% | 56.8% | 1318 | — |
| 3 | Wind Shadowstrike | 6 | 16.7% | 33 | 59.1% | 52.8% | 54.5% | 52.0% | 1430 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Umbra Guardian | 2 | 5.6% | 13 | 65.4% | 49.1% | 52.1% | 48.2% | 1465 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Slimes | 2 | 5.6% | 11 | 63.6% | 53.6% | 51.6% | 49.6% | 1466 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 2.8% | 5 | 50.0% | 51.4% | 50.8% | 52.1% | 1283 | — |
| 7 | Fire Suited | 3 | 8.3% | 20 | 55.0% | 59.6% | 50.2% | 53.1% | 1346 | — |
| 8 | Water Genbu | 2 | 5.6% | 11 | 50.0% | 54.1% | 50.0% | 51.6% | 1348 | — |
| 9 | Wind Umbra Diana | 1 | 2.8% | 6 | 58.3% | 51.1% | 49.3% | 49.0% | 1332 | — |
| 10 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 2.8% | 6 | 50.0% | 59.0% | 47.0% | 51.0% | 1130 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Wind Astra Cleric | 3 | 8.3% | 16 | 40.6% | 53.6% | 45.3% | 49.5% | 1257 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Water Tera Mage | 1 | 2.8% | 6 | 41.7% | 34.8% | 45.0% | 41.4% | 1262 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Fire Exia | 1 | 2.8% | 6 | 25.0% | 35.0% | 45.0% | 45.5% | 1197 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 2.8% | 6 | 33.3% | 52.6% | 44.4% | 49.1% | 1172 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Wind Luxem Assassin | 1 | 2.8% | 5 | 20.0% | 45.2% | 44.0% | 48.3% | 983 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Wind Allies | 1 | 2.8% | 5 | 40.0% | 43.5% | 43.3% | 43.9% | 1343 | — |
| 17 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 3 | 8.3% | 12 | 37.5% | 36.6% | 41.3% | 41.0% | 1277 | ↓ low |
| 18 | Wind Seiryuu | 2 | 5.6% | 12 | 29.2% | 31.9% | 41.2% | 41.5% | 1339 | — |
| 19 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 2.8% | 6 | 8.3% | 35.9% | 40.4% | 45.3% | 1157 | ↓ low |