Regionals

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Rile	Tier 1	18	41.9%	45-36-10	54.9%	51.7%	53.9%	52.8%	1309	—
2		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	5	11.6%	9-17-1	35.2%	44.2%	36.5%	42.1%	1209	↓ low
3		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 1	4	9.3%	14-10-6	56.7%	49.2%	51.6%	48.9%	1291	—
4		Water Allies	Tier 1	4	9.3%	12-8-2	59.1%	40.3%	55.5%	44.2%	1447	↑ top
5		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	2	4.7%	12-3-2	76.5%	72.8%	62.5%	64.0%	1248	—
6		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	2	4.7%	6-6-2	50.0%	41.1%	48.6%	46.2%	1354	↑ top
7		Fire Suzaku	Tier 1	2	4.7%	9-5-1	63.3%	62.7%	55.7%	57.2%	1265	—
8		Water Genbu	Tier 2	2	4.7%	4-6-3	42.3%	54.5%	45.0%	51.0%	1142	↓ low
9		Wind Allies	Tier 2	2	4.7%	3-10-2	26.7%	37.9%	41.2%	44.9%	1111	↓ low
10		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	1	2.3%	6-4-0	60.0%	61.0%	50.4%	54.0%	1299	—
11		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.3%	5-0-3	81.2%	72.0%	57.1%	58.7%	1352	↑ top
12		Fire Oblation	Tier 2	1	2.3%	2-3-0	40.0%	46.7%	54.8%	55.9%	1397	↑ top
13		Fire Suited	Tier 2	1	2.3%	6-3-0	66.7%	68.2%	53.8%	58.5%	1259	—
14		Fire Umbra Diana	Tier 2	1	2.3%	0-6-0	0.0%	22.3%	36.0%	37.8%	1121	↓ low
15		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	2.3%	5-2-1	68.8%	65.7%	52.0%	54.4%	1261	—
16		Water Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	2.3%	2-3-0	40.0%	52.9%	43.8%	48.9%	1146	↓ low
17		Water Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	2.3%	3-5-0	37.5%	44.9%	41.4%	45.6%	1304	—
18		Water Fractal	Tier 2	1	2.3%	3-3-0	50.0%	52.6%	42.9%	46.0%	1244	—
19		Water Oblation	Tier 2	1	2.3%	1-4-0	20.0%	36.0%	46.2%	47.3%	1179	↓ low
20		Water Penguin Mill	Tier 2	1	2.3%	1-4-2	28.6%	40.1%	47.6%	48.7%	1113	↓ low
21		Water Rile	Tier 2	1	2.3%	1-4-0	20.0%	36.0%	46.2%	47.3%	1179	↓ low
22		Water Tera Cleric	Tier 2	1	2.3%	3-5-0	37.5%	48.7%	41.3%	47.4%	1170	↓ low
23		Water Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	2.3%	0-3-1	12.5%	29.9%	40.5%	38.8%	1149	↓ low
24		Wind Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.3%	3-5-0	37.5%	41.9%	49.2%	47.6%	1293	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Rile 18 decks · 41.9%
• Wind Shadowstrike 5 decks · 11.6%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 4 decks · 9.3%
• Water Allies 4 decks · 9.3%
• Fire Aggro 2 decks · 4.7%
• Fire Crux Mage 2 decks · 4.7%
• Fire Suzaku 2 decks · 4.7%
• Water Genbu 2 decks · 4.7%
• Wind Allies 2 decks · 4.7%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 2.3%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 2.3%
• Fire Oblation 1 deck · 2.3%
• Fire Suited 1 deck · 2.3%
• Fire Umbra Diana 1 deck · 2.3%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Aetherwing 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Crux Mage 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Oblation 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Penguin Mill 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Rile 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Tera Cleric 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 2.3%
• Wind Lorraine 1 deck · 2.3%