Fire Firebloom BurnTier 1
at 三咖啡店冠賽
decks
1
(4.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-3-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
61.4%
avg ELO +6.6 per match
expected value
54.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
60.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1247
· median 1247
· range 1247–1247
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1175
Q1 1223
Q3 1393
1543
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 24.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 66.6% | +26.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 12.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 12.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.6% | -5.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.8% | +20.5 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.9% | -6.6 |
| Water Fractal | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ciel | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.7% | -2.1 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Zander | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Firebloom Burn decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
