Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at 三咖啡店冠賽
decks
3
(12.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
6-8-1
overall winrate
43.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.1%
avg ELO -0.4 per match
expected value
50.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1243
· median 1223
· range 1178–1328
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1175
Q1 1223
Q3 1393
1543
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
67% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 24.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 12.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.7% | +9.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.3% | -10.8 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 57.3% | +7.0 |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.5% | +18.4 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.2% | -10.4 |
| Wind Arcane | 4.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.5% | +0.4 |
| Wind Ciel | 4.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 48.0% | -1.9 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.2% | -6.1 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.8% | -5.2 |
| Wind Zander | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
