Fire SuzakuTier 2
at 三咖啡店冠賽
decks
3
(12.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14
4-9-1
overall winrate
32.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
44.7%
avg ELO -2.2 per match
expected value
45.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1291
· median 1217
· range 1175–1481
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1175
Q1 1223
Q3 1393
1543
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
67% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 24.0% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.9% | +0.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 12.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.0% | -19.2 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.9% | +17.4 |
| Water Fractal | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ciel | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.5% | -11.9 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 51.9% | +1.8 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 44.1% | -5.6 |
| Wind Zander | 4.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.8% | -1.2 |
