Wind CielTier 1
at 三咖啡店冠賽
decks
1
(4.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
4-1-2
overall winrate
71.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.8%
avg ELO +4.4 per match
expected value
56.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1369
· median 1369
· range 1369–1369
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1175
Q1 1223
Q3 1393
1543
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 24.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 12.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +11.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 12.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 52.0% | +1.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.2 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.4 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.1 |
| Water Fractal | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.0% | -8.0 |
| Wind Zander | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Ciel decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
