← Card Merchant Westcity DTR Regionals
Water Astra RangerTier 2
at Card Merchant Westcity DTR Regionals
decks
1
(3.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
2-4-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
42.2%
avg ELO -4.2 per match
expected value
43.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1396
· median 1396
· range 1396–1396
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
978
Q1 1191
Q3 1418
1584
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 19.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.4% | -10.6 |
| Wind Allies | 12.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 9.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.3% | -17.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.4% | -10.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 6.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +13.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.8% | -11.6 |
| Water Genbu | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +12.0 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Astra Ranger decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
