← 家家美樂地 8月23日 Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at 家家美樂地 8月23日 Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 3.3% | 14 | 78.6% | 62.8% | 61.1% | 56.9% | 1416 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Rile | 10 | 33.3% | 52 | 62.5% | 57.2% | 59.9% | 55.3% | 1401 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Exia | 1 | 3.3% | 12 | 70.8% | 59.3% | 58.1% | 53.9% | 1379 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 3.3% | 8 | 75.0% | 59.0% | 57.7% | 54.8% | 1389 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 2 | 6.7% | 22 | 65.9% | 57.0% | 57.1% | 53.5% | 1456 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Fire Crux Hybrid | 2 | 6.7% | 16 | 65.6% | 61.2% | 55.3% | 54.4% | 1479 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 6.7% | 11 | 50.0% | 57.0% | 50.4% | 54.1% | 1243 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Water Fractal | 1 | 3.3% | 5 | 50.0% | 51.3% | 50.0% | 50.3% | 1244 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 3.3% | 7 | 57.1% | 46.5% | 48.6% | 46.6% | 1359 | — |
| 10 | Wind Allies | 1 | 3.3% | 8 | 56.2% | 49.9% | 47.4% | 46.5% | 1369 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 2 | 6.7% | 7 | 28.6% | 41.0% | 46.7% | 48.6% | 1322 | — |
| 12 | Water Allies | 3 | 10.0% | 18 | 38.9% | 45.6% | 42.9% | 46.2% | 1232 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Wind Astra Cleric | 2 | 6.7% | 14 | 35.7% | 38.9% | 42.5% | 42.6% | 1316 | — |
| 14 | Fire Suited | 1 | 3.3% | 8 | 37.5% | 35.2% | 42.1% | 40.2% | 1396 | ↑ top |
| 15 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 3.3% | 7 | 28.6% | 45.8% | 41.8% | 46.5% | 1276 | — |
| 16 | Fire Oblation | 4 | 13.3% | 15 | 33.3% | 44.1% | 41.1% | 46.3% | 1349 | — |
| 17 | Wind Seiryuu | 2 | 6.7% | 14 | 25.0% | 38.7% | 40.9% | 45.0% | 1225 | ↓ low |
| 18 | Wind Byakko | 1 | 3.3% | 4 | 0.0% | 37.7% | 40.0% | 44.5% | 1038 | ↓ low |
| 19 | Fire Suzaku | 3 | 10.0% | 14 | 7.1% | 31.2% | 35.1% | 42.2% | 1200 | ↓ low |