← MVP x DTR Store Championship
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at MVP x DTR Store Championship
decks
2
(6.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
4-5-2
overall winrate
45.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.9%
avg ELO -1.3 per match
expected value
50.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1393
· median 1393
· range 1325–1461
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1042
Q1 1209
Q3 1403
1532
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 51.6% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.5% | +1.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 9.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.4% | -20.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.1% | -4.7 |
| Fire Astra Ranger | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.2% | -18.8 |
| Fire Suited | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 3.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.5% | -4.0 |
| Slimes | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.5% | +16.8 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.2 |
