← MVP x DTR Store Championship
Horse and TaxesTier 2
at MVP x DTR Store Championship
decks
1
(3.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-1-2
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
63.1%
avg ELO +7.0 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1383
· median 1383
· range 1383–1383
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1042
Q1 1209
Q3 1403
1532
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 51.6% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 46.3% | -3.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 9.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 67.1% | +16.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.5% | +4.0 |
| Fire Oblation | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Ranger | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.1 |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Horse and Taxes decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
