← MVP x DTR Store Championship
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at MVP x DTR Store Championship
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 51.6% | 7 | 2-5-0 | 28.6% | 36.4% | 47.8% | -1.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 9.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 37.1% | -12.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.6% | +20.2 |
| Fire Oblation | 6.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.6% | +2.5 |
| Water Allies | 6.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.1% | -6.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Ranger | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.6% | -13.5 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.9% | -8.2 |
| Fire Suited | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.9% | -9.8 |
| Horse and Taxes | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.0% | +22.4 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 51 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 51 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleansing Reunion | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Wind | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Poisonous Apple | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windwalker Boots | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Assassin's Mantle | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dungeon Guide | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Emergent Dagger | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fragmented Spirit of Wind | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gearstride Gloves | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dreamy Unicorn | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slimeshield | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Shadow Resonance | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slice and Dice | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Smoke Bombs | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Life Essence Amulet | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Assassin's Ripper | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blinding Orb | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Exploit Vulnerability | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Swift Recruit | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sadi, Blood Harvester | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tristan, Shadowreaver | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Arrow Trap | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mastermind Scheme | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Betraying Blade | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Thieving Cut | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shadow's Claw | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Poisoned Dagger | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Deadly Opportunist | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Juggle Knives | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Penumbral Waltz | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blackmarket Broker | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |