← Yeti Webcam Weekly 4/25/2024
Fire Umbra RangerTier 1
at Yeti Webcam Weekly 4/25/2024
decks
4
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
8-7-0
overall winrate
53.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.5%
avg ELO +0.2 per match
expected value
50.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1179
· median 1185
· range 1138–1207
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1202
Q3 1377
1638
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 15.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 13.6% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 49.8% | -0.1 |
| Fire Arcane | 11.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.1% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 50.1% | +0.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 49.0% | -1.0 |
| Wind Allies | 6.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.6% | +1.0 |
| Fire Erupting | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.1 |
| Water Tera Silvie | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.1% | +1.7 |
| Wind Dawn of Ashes | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.5 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos Tonoris | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arcane | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Lorraine | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.4 |
| Wind Neos | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Fire Umbra Ranger decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
