← Yeti Webcam Weekly 4/25/2024

Water Tera SilvieTier 2

at Yeti Webcam Weekly 4/25/2024

decks
2 (4.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8 1-7-0
overall winrate
12.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.3% avg ELO -0.8 per match
expected value
36.7% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.0% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1110 · median 1110 · range 1083–1137 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000 Q1 1202 Q3 1377 1638
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 100% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Allies 15.9% 3 0-3-0 0.0% 28.6% 48.4% -1.2
Fire Crux Mage 13.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.2% -1.3
Fire Arcane 11.4% 0
Fire Aggro 9.1% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 9.1% 0
Fire Umbra Ranger 9.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 48.9% -1.7
Wind Allies 6.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.5% -0.8
Fire Erupting 4.5% 0
Wind Dawn of Ashes 4.5% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 2.3% 0
Fire Crux Merlin 2.3% 0
Fire Neos Tonoris 2.3% 0
Water Arcane 2.3% 0
Water Lorraine 2.3% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 50.5% +0.4
Wind Crux Lorraine 2.3% 0
Wind Neos 2.3% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Water Tera Silvie decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/3300/archetypes/Water Tera Silvie