← Bricks Play DTR Store Championship
Fire AetherwingTier 2
at Bricks Play DTR Store Championship
decks
1
(3.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
1-4-0
overall winrate
20.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.4%
avg ELO -4.9 per match
expected value
42.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1227
· median 1227
· range 1227–1227
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1013
Q1 1223
Q3 1437
1633
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 16.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.6% | -8.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 12.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.8% | -11.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 9.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.7% | -6.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 6.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.0% | -11.2 |
| Horse and Taxes | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 6.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.4 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Aetherwing decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
