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Wind SeiryuuTier 2
at Bricks Play DTR Store Championship
decks
3
(9.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
4-5-0
overall winrate
44.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.1%
avg ELO +1.4 per match
expected value
49.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1266
· median 1219
· range 1208–1371
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1013
Q1 1223
Q3 1437
1633
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
67% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 16.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.1% | -11.1 |
| Water Aetherwing | 12.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.3% | -10.7 |
| Fire Suzaku | 9.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 6.5% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 60.6% | +7.9 |
| Horse and Taxes | 6.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.9 |
| Water Fractal | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.4 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.0% | -3.1 |
