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Fire SuzakuTier 1
at Bricks Play DTR Store Championship
decks
3
(9.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
6-4-1
overall winrate
59.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.3%
avg ELO +1.0 per match
expected value
50.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1250
· median 1261
· range 1206–1284
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1013
Q1 1223
Q3 1437
1633
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 16.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.5% | -3.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.9% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 44.3% | -5.4 |
| Water Aetherwing | 12.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.5% | -1.5 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 6.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.8% | +9.3 |
| Horse and Taxes | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +6.8 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.7% | -18.0 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 67.3% | +16.6 |
| Wind Cats | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
