← Bricks Play DTR Store Championship
Fire AggroTier 2
at Bricks Play DTR Store Championship
decks
2
(6.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
5-5-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.3%
avg ELO -1.7 per match
expected value
46.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1375
· median 1375
· range 1265–1485
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1013
Q1 1223
Q3 1437
1633
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 16.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.0% | -3.8 |
| Water Aetherwing | 12.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 9.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.2% | -9.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.7% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 39.4% | -7.9 |
| Horse and Taxes | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.0% | +11.2 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.7% | +15.6 |
| Wind Cats | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +12.1 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
