Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at DTR Store Championship
decks
2
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14
10-2-2
overall winrate
78.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
63.0%
avg ELO +5.3 per match
expected value
62.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1424
· median 1424
· range 1420–1428
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1126
Q1 1265
Q3 1411
1607
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 45.8% | 4 | 3-0-1 | 87.5% | 68.8% | 62.4% | +7.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 8.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.6% | +7.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +12.0 |
| Fire Exia | 8.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.5% | +12.0 |
| Water Allies | 8.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 58.0% | +7.7 |
| Water Fractal | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +6.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 31.9% | -17.4 |
| Fire Arcane | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.2 |
| Fire Oblation | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
