Fire Crux LorraineTier 2
at 貓腳印士林店 GA店家冠軍賽
decks
1
(3.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
2-6-0
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.5%
avg ELO -1.7 per match
expected value
43.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1426
· median 1426
· range 1426–1426
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1202
Q1 1295
Q3 1435
1591
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 61.3% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 50.3% | +0.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 22.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 12.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.4% | +6.2 |
| Fire Exia | 9.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 6.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.8% | -11.6 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 6.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.2% | -6.0 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.5% | -8.9 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
