Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at 貓腳印士林店 GA店家冠軍賽
decks
3
(9.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
26
6-17-3
overall winrate
28.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
40.0%
avg ELO -3.7 per match
expected value
39.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1281
· median 1311
· range 1202–1328
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1202
Q1 1295
Q3 1435
1591
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 61.3% | 12 | 3-8-1 | 29.2% | 34.4% | 41.5% | -3.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 22.6% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.6% | +4.9 |
| Horse and Taxes | 12.9% | 5 | 1-4-0 | 20.0% | 33.3% | 41.0% | -5.2 |
| Fire Exia | 9.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 6.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.8% | -21.1 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 6.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.5% | +0.9 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 6.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.4% | -14.0 |
| Fire Suited | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.5% | +16.8 |
| Water Genbu | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
