Wind Crux LorraineTier 1
at 貓腳印士林店 GA店家冠軍賽
decks
2
(6.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
19
10-3-6
overall winrate
68.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
54.0%
avg ELO +1.5 per match
expected value
62.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1450
· median 1450
· range 1364–1536
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1202
Q1 1295
Q3 1435
1591
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 61.3% | 8 | 5-1-2 | 75.0% | 66.7% | 57.3% | +3.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 22.6% | 7 | 3-1-3 | 64.3% | 59.1% | 49.7% | -0.2 |
| Horse and Taxes | 12.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 9.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.9 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.1% | +11.4 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.8% | +6.0 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.3% | -13.9 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
