Fire Umbra GuardianTier 1
at 貓腳印士林店 GA店家冠軍賽
decks
2
(6.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
8-6-1
overall winrate
56.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
66.1%
avg ELO +6.5 per match
expected value
51.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1354
· median 1354
· range 1348–1359
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1202
Q1 1295
Q3 1435
1591
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 61.3% | 6 | 3-3-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 58.3% | +4.4 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 22.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.3% | +18.1 |
| Horse and Taxes | 12.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.1% | -17.5 |
| Fire Exia | 9.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.1% | -4.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.2% | +21.1 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.4 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.6 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.6% | +23.4 |
| Water Genbu | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.4% | +21.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.6% | +10.6 |
