← VPC Store Champs - DTR Season
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at VPC Store Champs - DTR Season.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Slimes | 3 | 10.7% | 13 | 76.9% | 67.5% | 59.2% | 58.0% | 1476 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Tera Mage | 1 | 3.6% | 5 | 80.0% | 68.3% | 55.6% | 57.0% | 1423 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 3.6% | 5 | 60.0% | 65.7% | 55.2% | 59.4% | 1327 | — |
| 4 | Water Umbra Guardian | 1 | 3.6% | 5 | 70.0% | 52.9% | 52.9% | 51.3% | 1648 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 2 | 7.1% | 9 | 61.1% | 49.6% | 52.6% | 49.9% | 1399 | — |
| 6 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 3.6% | 5 | 60.0% | 49.4% | 51.7% | 48.9% | 1387 | — |
| 7 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 3.6% | 5 | 60.0% | 48.2% | 50.0% | 48.0% | 1294 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 3.6% | 5 | 40.0% | 54.0% | 50.0% | 53.1% | 1182 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Wind Shadowstrike | 3 | 10.7% | 12 | 54.2% | 44.0% | 49.6% | 47.5% | 1414 | — |
| 10 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 3.6% | 5 | 60.0% | 46.0% | 48.9% | 46.0% | 1616 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 7.1% | 8 | 56.2% | 53.3% | 48.5% | 49.1% | 1402 | — |
| 12 | Water Allies | 1 | 3.6% | 5 | 30.0% | 49.1% | 48.3% | 52.2% | 1201 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 3.6% | 5 | 50.0% | 47.1% | 48.3% | 47.3% | 1317 | — |
| 14 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 3.6% | 5 | 40.0% | 55.8% | 47.5% | 53.4% | 1042 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Fire Suited | 1 | 3.6% | 5 | 40.0% | 47.4% | 45.7% | 47.1% | 1407 | — |
| 16 | Water Genbu | 1 | 3.6% | 4 | 25.0% | 53.3% | 44.0% | 50.8% | 1192 | ↓ low |
| 17 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 3.6% | 5 | 30.0% | 44.3% | 43.8% | 46.5% | 1410 | — |
| 18 | Water Astra Ranger | 2 | 7.1% | 10 | 35.0% | 43.4% | 43.5% | 45.9% | 1252 | ↓ low |
| 19 | Water Fractal | 1 | 3.6% | 4 | 25.0% | 41.3% | 42.9% | 44.9% | 1207 | ↓ low |
| 20 | Fire Neos | 1 | 3.6% | 3 | 0.0% | 18.9% | 40.0% | 35.5% | 1343 | — |
| 21 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 3.6% | 3 | 0.0% | 30.5% | 37.3% | 37.9% | 1445 | ↑ top |