Wind AlliesTier 2
at Outpost Ghent | Regional
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.6% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 43.7% | -6.1 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 8.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.7 |
| Water Aetherwing | 8.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.1% | +19.3 |
| Water Fractal | 6.4% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.3% | +1.7 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.8% | +16.1 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 37.3% | -12.2 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.7% | +6.4 |
| Fire Suited | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.5% | -13.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% | +16.0 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.0% | +14.5 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.4% | -7.3 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.3 |
| Water Genbu | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 2.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.7% | -10.2 |
| Wind Arcane | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Kongming | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.5% | -10.1 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 81 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 81 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dilu, Auspicious Charger | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reconnaissance Scout | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Flash Grenade | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Perse, Relentless Raptor | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Concealed Marksman | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Evasive Maneuvers | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Liu Bei, Oathkeeper | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Draught of Stamina | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aether's Embrace | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ranger Strides | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Diana, Keen Huntress | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Second Wind | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veiled Dash | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Backstep | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Emerald Pistol | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Brackish Lutist | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mad Hatter, Morose Heritor | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Windpiercer | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Skirting Step | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Rose, Eternal Paragon | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ghostsight Mare | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cheshire Cat, Impish Grin | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Determined Spearman | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lurking Assailant | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Charged Mannequin | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Eye of Argus | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sharpening Stone | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sword of Seeking | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rallied Advance | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windrider Vanguard | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Smoke Bombs | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Inert Sword | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Inspiring Call | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Galewhisper Rogue | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Trained Hawk | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ornamental Greatsword | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Blademaster | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Swift Recruit | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| The Looking Glass | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Drawn Blade | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Powercell | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Evasive Positioning | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blissful Calling | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Forest Cake | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Attune with the Winds | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rearing Rebound | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Green Slime | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Boots | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fluffy Shopkeep | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Hurricane Sweep | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Effigy of Gaia | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Silvie, With the Pack | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Silvie, Loved by All | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bedivere, Woodland Overseer | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Baby Green Slime | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Portentous Tanggu | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Silvie, Wilds Whisperer | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |