Outpost Ghent | Regional

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	5	10.6%	15-11-2	57.1%	58.6%	52.3%	53.2%	1253	—
2		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	4	8.5%	11-13-0	45.8%	50.3%	48.6%	50.0%	1275	—
3		Water Aetherwing	Tier 2	4	8.5%	7-14-0	33.3%	37.8%	42.7%	43.5%	1234	—
4		Wind Allies	Tier 2	4	8.5%	9-10-2	47.6%	54.6%	51.2%	52.7%	1220	—
5		Water Fractal	Tier 2	3	6.4%	8-8-2	50.0%	50.2%	48.1%	48.0%	1234	—
6		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	3	6.4%	13-4-2	73.7%	57.6%	57.0%	52.8%	1459	↑ top
7		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	2	4.3%	10-1-3	82.1%	63.7%	58.3%	55.6%	1399	↑ top
8		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	2	4.3%	4-8-0	33.3%	32.6%	48.0%	46.1%	1275	—
9		Fire Suited	Tier 1	2	4.3%	5-5-1	50.0%	58.7%	51.7%	53.8%	1152	↓ low
10		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	2	4.3%	3-6-2	36.4%	39.5%	45.8%	45.6%	1331	↑ top
11		Water Umbra Guardian	Tier 1	2	4.3%	6-5-1	54.2%	47.3%	50.9%	49.0%	1244	—
12		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	2.1%	0-5-1	8.3%	34.6%	38.8%	42.5%	1053	↓ low
13		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	2.1%	3-3-0	50.0%	45.0%	48.2%	46.8%	1364	↑ top
14		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	1	2.1%	3-3-0	50.0%	51.9%	48.8%	49.4%	1204	↓ low
15		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	2.1%	0-4-1	10.0%	34.6%	41.2%	44.7%	1157	↓ low
16		Slimes	Tier 2	1	2.1%	1-4-1	25.0%	35.4%	43.6%	44.0%	1028	↓ low
17		Water Allies	Tier 2	1	2.1%	4-1-1	75.0%	53.5%	57.3%	52.8%	1432	↑ top
18		Water Astra Ranger	Tier 2	1	2.1%	3-2-0	60.0%	58.1%	50.0%	51.6%	1170	↓ low
19		Water Genbu	Tier 2	1	2.1%	4-0-2	83.3%	75.6%	57.8%	58.7%	1385	↑ top
20		Water Umbra Ciel	Tier 2	1	2.1%	2-3-1	41.7%	44.7%	45.6%	45.6%	1180	↓ low
21		Wind Arcane	Tier 2	1	2.1%	2-3-1	41.7%	50.9%	46.4%	48.8%	1292	—
22		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	2.1%	3-3-0	50.0%	47.2%	46.7%	46.0%	1207	↓ low
23		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.1%	4-2-0	66.7%	50.5%	52.5%	50.2%	1418	↑ top
24		Wind Kongming	Tier 2	1	2.1%	0-3-2	20.0%	43.7%	45.0%	48.7%	1202	↓ low
25		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	1	2.1%	2-3-1	41.7%	48.0%	46.9%	48.1%	1148	↓ low
26		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 2	1	2.1%	4-2-0	66.7%	57.9%	57.6%	55.4%	1366	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Crux Mage 5 decks · 10.6%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 4 decks · 8.5%
• Water Aetherwing 4 decks · 8.5%
• Wind Allies 4 decks · 8.5%
• Water Fractal 3 decks · 6.4%
• Wind Seiryuu 3 decks · 6.4%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 2 decks · 4.3%
• Fire Slimes 2 decks · 4.3%
• Fire Suited 2 decks · 4.3%
• Fire Suzaku 2 decks · 4.3%
• Water Umbra Guardian 2 decks · 4.3%
• Fire Aetherwing 1 deck · 2.1%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 2.1%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 2.1%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 2.1%
• Slimes 1 deck · 2.1%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 2.1%
• Water Astra Ranger 1 deck · 2.1%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 2.1%
• Water Umbra Ciel 1 deck · 2.1%
• Wind Arcane 1 deck · 2.1%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 2.1%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 2.1%
• Wind Kongming 1 deck · 2.1%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 2.1%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 1 deck · 2.1%