Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at Outpost Ghent | Regional
decks
3
(6.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
19
13-4-2
overall winrate
73.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.6%
avg ELO +2.9 per match
expected value
57.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1459
· median 1493
· range 1362–1520
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1028
Q1 1164
Q3 1365
1520
67% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 60.2% | +9.8 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 8.5% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 65.1% | +11.3 |
| Water Aetherwing | 8.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.6% | +5.8 |
| Wind Allies | 8.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.2% | -16.1 |
| Water Fractal | 6.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.8% | +11.4 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.4% | -2.6 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.4% | +3.8 |
| Fire Suited | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.6% | +8.9 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.3% | -20.3 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.2% | +9.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.1% | -7.8 |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.4% | +19.9 |
| Wind Kongming | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.5% | +4.1 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.0% | -9.7 |
