← Yeti Webcam Weekly 9/4/2025

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Yeti Webcam Weekly 9/4/2025. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

2nd
Water Aetherwing
55.5%
2.3% share · 7 matches
↑ top
1st
Fire Umbra Ranger
59.3%
2.3% share · 4 matches
3rd
Fire Luxem Assassin
55.3%
9.1% share · 17 matches
#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Fire Umbra Ranger 1 2.3% 4 75.0% 50.3% 59.3% 50.1% 1291 —
2 Water Aetherwing 1 2.3% 7 71.4% 50.0% 55.5% 50.0% 1548 ↑ top
3 Fire Luxem Assassin 4 9.1% 17 64.7% 51.2% 55.3% 50.6% 1310 —
4 Fire Rile 22 50.0% 63 65.1% 51.1% 55.2% 50.4% 1345 —
5 Fire Suzaku 3 6.8% 13 53.8% 50.7% 53.5% 50.4% 1222 ↓ low
6 Fire Ravishing Mill 1 2.3% 3 66.7% 49.9% 51.9% 49.6% 1560 ↑ top
7 Wind Shadowstrike 3 6.8% 17 50.0% 49.4% 50.3% 49.6% 1376 ↑ top
8 Water Crux Mage 1 2.3% 3 33.3% 49.1% 49.6% 49.8% 1304 —
9 Wind Allies 1 2.3% 5 60.0% 51.0% 49.3% 50.3% 1499 ↑ top
10 Fire Crux Mage 5 11.4% 21 57.1% 50.1% 47.4% 49.7% 1397 ↑ top
11 Fire Suited 2 4.5% 9 33.3% 49.9% 45.3% 50.0% 1224 ↓ low
12 Fire Slimes 1 2.3% 7 35.7% 49.7% 43.5% 49.8% 1129 ↓ low
13 Wind Crux Mage 1 2.3% 3 66.7% 50.0% 43.1% 49.2% 1333 —
14 Fire Oblation 3 6.8% 11 40.9% 49.0% 42.7% 49.2% 1289 —
15 Fire Aggro 1 2.3% 5 60.0% 51.2% 42.6% 50.1% 1274 —
16 Water Umbra Ranger 1 2.3% 6 16.7% 49.3% 41.6% 49.6% 1158 ↓ low
17 Water Allies 1 2.3% 4 50.0% 49.2% 41.5% 49.0% 1420 ↑ top
18 Wind Ciel 1 2.3% 3 16.7% 48.9% 40.7% 49.3% 1444 ↑ top
19 Fire Astra Cleric 1 2.3% 4 12.5% 48.7% 40.3% 49.3% 1083 ↓ low
20 Water Astra Ranger 1 2.3% 3 0.0% 48.6% 40.0% 49.1% 1144 ↓ low
21 Fire Exia 1 2.3% 2 0.0% 49.2% 40.0% 49.5% 1448 ↑ top
22 Wind Arcane 1 2.3% 2 0.0% 48.7% 40.0% 49.3% 1276 —
23 Wind Seiryuu 2 4.5% 5 40.0% 49.7% 38.5% 49.1% 1192 ↓ low
24 Water Fractal 2 4.5% 7 35.7% 49.4% 36.8% 49.1% 1303 —
25 Wind Tristan 1 2.3% 6 16.7% 49.4% 36.3% 49.6% 1239 ↓ low
26 Water Penguin Mill 1 2.3% 3 0.0% 48.1% 33.6% 48.6% 1162 ↓ low
27 Water Tera Cleric 1 2.3% 3 0.0% 48.1% 33.6% 48.6% 1162 ↓ low