Wind SeiryuuTier 2
at SC Store Championship
decks
3
(9.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14
7-6-1
overall winrate
53.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.0%
avg ELO +0.4 per match
expected value
49.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1312
· median 1259
· range 1259–1418
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
990
Q1 1235
Q3 1404
1539
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 15.6% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 41.3% | -6.5 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 40.4% | -7.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.5% | +15.9 |
| Fire Slimes | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.2% | +8.4 |
| Water Genbu | 6.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.3% | +6.8 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.3% | -14.0 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.4% | -17.0 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.4% | +21.4 |
| Wind Allies | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.8% | +9.3 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
