Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at SC Store Championship
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 15.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.6% | +7.3 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.9% | -1.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.4% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 59.6% | +7.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.7% | +2.6 |
| Fire Slimes | 6.2% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 40.0% | -9.6 |
| Water Genbu | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.7% | -14.6 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.7 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 67.7% | +17.0 |
| Horse and Taxes | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.1% | +1.8 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 3.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.5% | -10.0 |
| Wind Allies | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.3 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 14 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 14 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleansing Reunion | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mastermind Scheme | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dungeon Guide | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |