Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at EVO Regional(DTR)
decks
4
(6.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
28
13-12-3
overall winrate
51.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.1%
avg ELO +1.1 per match
expected value
49.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1399
· median 1394
· range 1253–1553
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1034
Q1 1210
Q3 1457
1599
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.9% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 40.6% | -9.0 |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.4% | 7 | 4-3-0 | 57.1% | 54.5% | 53.1% | +1.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 9.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.2% | -7.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.8% | +15.1 |
| Water Fractal | 6.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 42.6% | -7.1 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.4% | +19.9 |
| Water Allies | 4.5% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 46.7% | -2.4 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | -16.0 |
| Fire Oblation | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.0% | +6.4 |
| Fire Slimes | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.2 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 1.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.5% | +5.3 |
| Water Aetherwing | 1.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.7% | -11.6 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.4% | +10.3 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ciel | 1.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.7% | -10.0 |
| Wind Vanitas | 1.5% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 57.8% | +7.5 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
