← Distorted Reflection Shuffle Store Championship
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at Distorted Reflection Shuffle Store Championship
decks
3
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
7-5-3
overall winrate
56.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.3%
avg ELO +0.9 per match
expected value
50.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1270
· median 1226
· range 1168–1417
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1070
Q1 1165
Q3 1374
1460
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Genbu | 11.1% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 44.6% | -5.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 35.1% | -11.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.2% | -15.7 |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.1 |
| Slimes | 7.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.6% | +11.2 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.2% | -10.8 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.4 |
| Fire Suited | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.5% | +10.3 |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.6% | +4.1 |
| Wind Dawn of Ashes | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.2% | +10.0 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
