← Distorted Reflection Shuffle Store Championship
Fire SuzakuTier 2
at Distorted Reflection Shuffle Store Championship
decks
2
(7.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
5-5-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.9%
avg ELO +1.3 per match
expected value
47.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1144
· median 1144
· range 1104–1183
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1070
Q1 1165
Q3 1374
1460
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.1 |
| Water Genbu | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.5% | -12.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.1% | -14.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.8% | -10.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.4% | +16.7 |
| Slimes | 7.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.2 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.8 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Dawn of Ashes | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.2% | +14.8 |
| Wind Exia | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.2 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.1% | -9.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
