← Distorted Reflection Shuffle Store Championship
Water AetherwingTier 2
at Distorted Reflection Shuffle Store Championship
decks
1
(3.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-3-0
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.6%
avg ELO -4.1 per match
expected value
42.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1335
· median 1335
· range 1335–1335
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1070
Q1 1165
Q3 1374
1460
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.2% | -10.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.5% | -12.0 |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Dawn of Ashes | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.0% | -8.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Aetherwing decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
