← Distorted Reflection Shuffle Store Championship

Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2

at Distorted Reflection Shuffle Store Championship

decks
2 (7.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8 3-4-1
overall winrate
43.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.7% avg ELO -1.1 per match
expected value
47.9% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.0% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1257 · median 1257 · range 1224–1289 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1070 Q1 1165 Q3 1374 1460
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Crux Mage 11.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.8% +15.7
Water Genbu 11.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 45.3% -7.5
Wind Shadowstrike 11.1% 0
Fire Aggro 7.4% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 41.6% -8.1
Fire Suzaku 7.4% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.6% -16.7
Slimes 7.4% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 3.7% 0
Fire Firebloom Burn 3.7% 0
Fire Slimes 3.7% 0
Fire Suited 3.7% 0
Water Aetherwing 3.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.5% +12.0
Wind Astra Cleric 3.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 44.5% -8.8
Wind Dawn of Ashes 3.7% 0
Wind Exia 3.7% 0
Wind Razorgale 3.7% 0
Wind Seiryuu 3.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.9% +12.6
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 25 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 25 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Resolute Stand +1.00 1 0 0
Reduce to Ash -1.00 0 1 0
Uncover the Plot -1.00 0 1 0
Staggering Strike +1.00 1 0 0
Sovereign Sanctuary +1.00 1 0 0
Mercenary's Blade -1.00 0 1 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint +1.00 1 0 0
Gentle Respite -1.00 0 1 0
Vanish from Sight +1.00 1 0 0
Striking Illuminance +1.00 1 0 0
Turbo Charge -1.00 0 1 0
Scry the Skies +1.00 1 0 0
Wisdom's Reprise -1.00 0 1 0
Blinding Orb -1.00 0 1 0
Exploit Vulnerability -1.00 0 1 0
Reprogram +1.00 1 0 0
Sadi, Blood Harvester -1.00 0 1 0
Quicksilver Grail +1.00 1 0 0
Tariff Ring +1.00 1 0 0
Thieving Cut -1.00 0 1 0
Juggle Knives +1.00 1 0 0
Regal Inquisition -1.00 0 1 0
Indolent Leisure -1.00 0 1 0
Thousand Refractions -1.00 0 1 0
Portentous Tanggu +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/37243/archetypes/Fire Luxem Assassin